Dan gardner
List dan gardner
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In superforecasting, tetlock and his co-author dan gardner offer a fascinating insight into what we can learn from this elite groupin a landmark, twenty-year study, wharton professor philip tetlock showed that the average expert was only slightly better at predicting the future than a layperson using random guessworksee oxfam website for delivery information read morethese are ordinary people, from former ballroom dancers to retired computer programmers, who have an extraordinary ability to predict the future with a degree of accuracy 60% greater than averagethe problem is, we're not very good at itthey show the methods used by these superforecasters which enable them to outperform even professional intelligence analysts with access to classified datawhether buying a new house or changing job, designing a new product or getting married, our decisions are governed by implicit predictions of how things are likely to turn outthey are superforecastersand they offer practical advice on how we can all use these methods for our own benefit - whether in business, in international affairs, or in everyday lifetetlock's latest project - an unprecedented, government-funded forecasting tournament involving over a million individual predictions - has since shown that there are, however, some people with real, demonstrable foresightoxfam bookshop st albans what if we could improve our ability to predict the future? everything we do involves forecasts about how the future will unfold
9 €
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The gardner specialist extending landing net handle has been fitted with a standard 3/8 bsf threadthe gardner specialist extending landing net handle is heavy duty in its built and it is constructed from twin layers of carbon composite tubingrather than investing in a brand new landing net which offers you the option of a longer handle, why not grab this specialist extending landing net handle from gardnerthis is able to be attached to the spreader block of most of the nation’s favourite landing net heads, although it has been design specifically with the gardner specialist pan net in mindkey features heavy duty design constructed from twin layer carbon composite tube extremely strong and stiff locking mechanism comprises robust metal collar4 tab compression mechanism standard 3/8 bsf thread compatible with all popular landing net heads lightweight - only 580glength = 5' 6" extending to 10' approx diameter = 25mm gardner specialist extending landing net handle if you find yourself getting routinely frustrated by your existing landing net and you regularly find that it doesn’t give you the kind of reach you require then this could be the solution to all of your problemsin fact, even when the handle is fully extended you’ll only experience minimal bend under the most extreme pressurethis makes it ideal for a variety of specialist fishing uses in a huge range of the nation’s watersthis means that if you’re only after an additional couple of feet, you can unlock and extend the handle to your desired lengthsimply lock it into place at any point along the pole for a precise landing net handle optionit can also be used with a baiting spoon for accurate bait and rig placementthis means that when it is fully closed you won’t experience any bend in the poleto further enhance this strength, it has been fitted with a robust metal collar and a four tab compression mechanismthis landing net handle is almost 6ft in the close position and can be extended to almost 10ft! however, what sets this landing net handle apart from any other with an extension option is that it can be stopped at any of the intermediate lengths
20 €
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gardner, don & ford, dee dee - nobody but you 2:44gardner, don & ford, dee dee - now it's too late 2:32gardner, don & ford, dee dee - don't you worry 3:00gardner, don & ford, dee dee - i need your loving 2:59
8 €
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Vol 12 no 04: dan dare solid space mystery – 28 jan vol 12 no 05: dan dare solid space mystery – 4 feb vol 12 no 07: dan dare solid space mystery – 18 feb vol 12 no 09: dan dare solid space mystery – 4 march vol 12 no 11: dan dare solid space mystery – 18 march vol 12 no 12: dan dare solid space mystery – 25 march vol 12 no 14: dan dare solid space mystery – 8 april vol 12 no 15: dan dare solid space mystery – 15 april vol 12 no 16: dan dare solid space mystery – 22 april vol 12 no 20: dan dare solid space mystery – 20 may vol 12 no 22: dan dare solid space mystery – 3 june vol 12 no 23: dan dare solid space mystery – 10 june more scans of the comics availablecentre fold so will be shipped thusfaint age tanningfree uk postage! these lovely original classic comic have very few tiny wear and tears to the edges as can be expected for these kind of classic magazines otherwise is in very good condition for its age
29 €
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Vol 12 no 04: dan dare solid space mystery – 28 jan vol 12 no 05: dan dare solid space mystery – 4 feb vol 12 no 07: dan dare solid space mystery – 18 feb vol 12 no 09: dan dare solid space mystery – 4 march vol 12 no 11: dan dare solid space mystery – 18 march vol 12 no 12: dan dare solid space mystery – 25 march vol 12 no 14: dan dare solid space mystery – 8 april vol 12 no 15: dan dare solid space mystery – 15 april vol 12 no 16: dan dare solid space mystery – 22 april vol 12 no 20: dan dare solid space mystery – 20 may vol 12 no 22: dan dare solid space mystery – 3 june vol 12 no 23: dan dare solid space mystery – 10 june more scans of the comics availablecentre fold so will be shipped thusfree uk postage! these lovely original classic comic have very few tiny wear and tears to the edges as can be expected for these kind of classic magazines otherwise is in very good condition for its agefaint age tanninguse your credit card and pay me with paypal
29 €
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Vol 12 no 04: dan dare solid space mystery – 28 jan vol 12 no 05: dan dare solid space mystery – 4 feb vol 12 no 07: dan dare solid space mystery – 18 feb vol 12 no 09: dan dare solid space mystery – 4 march vol 12 no 11: dan dare solid space mystery – 18 march vol 12 no 12: dan dare solid space mystery – 25 march vol 12 no 14: dan dare solid space mystery – 8 april vol 12 no 15: dan dare solid space mystery – 15 april vol 12 no 16: dan dare solid space mystery – 22 april vol 12 no 20: dan dare solid space mystery – 20 may vol 12 no 22: dan dare solid space mystery – 3 june vol 12 no 23: dan dare solid space mystery – 10 june more scans of the comics availablecentre fold so will be shipped thusfaint age tanninguse your credit card and pay me with paypalthese lovely original classic comic have very few tiny wear and tears to the edges as can be expected for these kind of classic magazines otherwise is in very good condition for its age
29 €
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gardner 16mm bait rolaball table & mm sausage rolling table 1 new gardner 16mm rolaball longbase bait rolling table still in unopened bag 1 new gardner mm sausage rolling table still in unopened bag ordered wrong size in error read more
18 €
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gardner 16mm bait rolaball table & mm sausage rolling table 1 new gardner 16mm rolaball longbase bait rolling table still in unopened bag 1 new gardner mm sausage rolling table still in unopened bag ordered wrong size in error
17 €
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Ava gardner this is an original/genuine/authentic hand signed cheque by ava gardner which has been stamped on the front by security first national bank - los angeles, and is over 48 years oldava lavinia gardner caught mgm's eye as a beautiful teenager, and was playing bit parts in films by the her marriages were even bigger news than her filmsher last words were 'i'm tired' to her housekeeper carmenpayable to ?doris devoe? amount paid $ born:24th decthis item may be collected or posted read moreafter two strokes in , which left her partially paralysed and bedridden, frank sinatra paid her medical costsdied:25th jan one of the most beautiful woman ever to step in front of a camera, the star of 'showboat' and 'mogambo' endured tempestuous off-screen unions with mickey rooney, artie shaw and frank sinatraafter brief marriages to mickey rooney, and bandleader artie shaw, her marriage to frank sinatra was the most famous and the longest-lasting, from toshe died of pneumonia at the age of 67, shortly after completing her autobiographydated: 9th july check noshe had been the love of his lifeafter her death, sinatra's daughter found him slumped in his room, face wet with tears, unable to raise his voice above a whisper
52 €
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7mm krimps 6 left 1 x new pack of korda micro rig swivels size 20 1 x new pack of korda safe zone run rig rubbers 1 x new pack of esp hook ring swivels 1 x new pack of esp quick change ronnie ring swivels size 11 1 x new pack of gardner size 8 flexi-ring swivels kwik lok swivels size 8 3 x new packs of gardner rigga bcr hooks 1 x new pack of carp spirit razor point v-curve hooks size 6 1 x part used pack of carp spirit razor point v-curve hooks size4 6 new left in pack there is over £70 worth of terminal tackle here read morefor sale gardner,korda,esp and carpspirit teminal tackle hooks,swivels etc 1 x korda boom 25lb may have used about 1 meter 1 x korda mouth trap may have used about a meter if that6mm krimps 1 x korda (s)06mm krimps 39 left 1 x korda (l)01 x new pack of korda (s)0
43 €
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3 gardner tlb bite alarmsgardner deluxe buzzer bar pouchgardner tru - lok bank sticks, buzzer bars & but rests3 solar adjustable quiver loc bite indicatorsindividually hand made in englandfully padded semi stiff case, with removable 15mm foam central dividerall electronic components are sealed within a separate compartment to the battery and output socketcolours: blue, amber & redlightweight free running roller will operate with the lightest bobbins and the roller wheel is covered which helps alleviate any issues related to open roller wheels freezing on really cold nightsthese hi-protection pouch are perfect for safely storing buzzer bars, with buzzers and receiver plus all essential accessoriessealed on/off switch to prolong battery life, high powered speaker unit and 10 second led latch timetlb’s are in original matt blackheight = 65mm, width = 46mm, depth = 36mmworth over £300all in good condition and working ordersupplied in a padded protective pouchrequires 1 x 23a 12v mini battery (supplied)made to last using hard wearing and rot-proof materialthe tlb is highly resistant to water and possibly the most robust buzzer on the marketfull width zip, ensuring easy access to all of the contentstlb bite alarms feature a milled recess designed for the fitment of small tritium max betalights (12mm x 2mm)tlb alarms weigh 103 gramsfull width velcro fastened external pocket for accessories
100 €
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3 gardner tlb bite alarmsgardner deluxe buzzer bar pouchgardner tru - lok bank sticks, buzzer bars & but rests3 solar adjustable quiver loc bite indicatorsindividually hand made in englandfully padded semi stiff case, with removable 15mm foam central dividerall electronic components are sealed within a separate compartment to the battery and output socketcolours: blue, amber & redlightweight free running roller will operate with the lightest bobbins and the roller wheel is covered which helps alleviate any issues related to open roller wheels freezing on really cold nightsthese hi-protection pouch are perfect for safely storing buzzer bars, with buzzers and receiver plus all essential accessoriessealed on/off switch to prolong battery life, high powered speaker unit and 10 second led latch timetlb’s are in original matt blackheight = 65mm, width = 46mm, depth = 36mmworth over £300all in good condition and working ordera bargain not to be missedsupplied in a padded protective pouchrequires 1 x 23a 12v mini battery (supplied)made to last using hard wearing and rot-proof materialthe tlb is highly resistant to water and possibly the most robust buzzer on the marketfull width zip, ensuring easy access to all of the contentstlb bite alarms feature a milled recess designed for the fitment of small tritium max betalights (12mm x 2mm)tlb alarms weigh 103 gramsfull width velcro fastened external pocket for accessories
80 €
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Curtin, dan - buzzcurtin, dan - quaoar 6:51curtin, dan - glow 6:24curtin, dan - peach 7:38curtin, dan - glow (extension) 0:51curtin, dan - saturn from titan 6:39curtin, dan - what did he get us into 5:46
4 €
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Steely dan - negative girl 5:35steely dan - almost gothic 4:10steely dan - cousin dupree 5:28steely dan - gaslighting abbie 5:54steely dan - janie runaway 4:09steely dan - jack of speed 6:18
14 €
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Braz,dan ar - language of the gaels 4:04braz,dan ar - borders of salt 4:21braz,dan ar - spike island lasses 3:10braz,dan ar - green lands 3:47braz,dan ar - eliziza 4:44braz,dan ar - april the 3rd 3:15
9 €
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2 caroline gardner egg cups - perfect condition - 5cm tall caroline gardner egg cupsposted by emma in other goods, hobbies, interests & collectibles in keighley
5 €
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gardner catapultsee pictures gardner catapultposted by john in fishing equipment, tackle in oxford
5 €
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dan fogelberg - home free - cbs - - netherlandsdan fogelberg - souvenirs - epic - epc - netherlandsdan fogelberg - nether lands - epic - epc - netherlandsdan fogelberg - captured angel - full moon - pe - uscatawiki’s goal is to make special objects universally availableplease click on "respond to advert" (orange button) to get redirected to the catawiki websiteare you interested in this item? this item is up for auction at catawikiour weekly auctions feature thousands of unusual, rare, and exceptional objects you won’t find in just any storerick derringer - all american boy - epic - epc - netherlandsrick derringer - spring fever - blue sky - sky - netherlands - read more
28 €
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Lp 3 steely dan "greatest hits" label n° abc records made in the netherlands - double album (2lp's)steely dan is an american rock duo founded in by core members walter becker (guitars, bass, backing vocals) and donald fagen (keyboards, lead vocals)lp 1 steely dan - "gaucho" lp 1ste press mca- usa vinyl mca records - orig masterdisk almost unplayed - inside strong original sleeve with lyrics - 180 gramnear mint to mint lp 2 steely dan -"aja" label n° xot abc records benelux - original inner sleeve, gatefold with photos and lyrics - 180 gram - near mintcatawiki’s goal is to make special objects universally availableplease click on "respond to advert" (orange button) to get redirected to the catawiki websiteare you interested in this item? this item is up for auction at catawikiour weekly auctions feature thousands of unusual, rare, and exceptional objects you won’t find in just any storegatefold with picture - 180 gram - near mint to mint
27 €
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Strike systems dan wesson holsterfits: 6” and 8” dan wessonthis form-molded belt holster designed especially for the dan wesson revolver seriesthe holster has been molded to fit the contours of the revolver
21 €
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Author: dan abnett2 paperback edition by dan abnetta paperback edition by dan abnett in english (may )he-man the eternity war volformat: paperbackbook picture is for illustrative purposes only, actual cover or edition may vary
13 €
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Author: dan slott4 paperback edition by dan slotta paperback edition by dan slott and giuseppe camuncoli in english (jan )format: paperbackbook picture is for illustrative purposes only, actual cover or edition may varyamazing spider-man: worldwide vol
13 €
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gardner pod and carry tube in good condition with two fox micron m bite alarms with case ad id: delivery service consumer credit
(England)
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Mori lee by madeline gardner vizcaya wedding dress, manufacturers made dress for size 8 instead of size 10 and won’t refunddress cost £ looking quick sale of £500 beautiful dress just pity it’s wrong sizeno time wasters read less read more
500 €
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This book by lisa gardneris a sunday times best seller time is running out if they’re going to find her! 439 disturbing pages of psychological drama you won’t be able to put down!
1 €
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gardner tlb alarm excellent condition, almost unused blue led with pouch chrome front and black back
40 €
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Hi im selling my gardner mower good condition only used a few times doesnt have scratches or marks selling due to having a small one and no longer using it no time wasters please as taking up too much room
150 €
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Marine ply top sides requires attention gardner 5lw engine shaft drive laying at viking marine goole vessel can remain at boatyard subject to negations with the yard read morescawsby 36ft built in whitbycabin cruiser fishing type boat mahogany on oak clinker built hull teak decks sound condition
1800 €
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Trakker bait caddy excellent condition hardly used gardner lead bag excellent condition £15 pick up corsham thanks
15 €
